Climate risk in Baotou
Inner Mongolia, China · 2M people in the urban area
What threatens Baotou most
- Water stress
- Extremely High WRI Aqueduct
- Drought
- Medium-High WRI Aqueduct
- Earthquake
- Moderate GSHAP
Tsunamis and landslides are not rated for a single city here. Climate risk profile of China
Baotou is projected to be +2.8°C warmer by 2050 under moderate emissions.
Shanghai: +2.1°C.
Baotou's climate in the 2050s
2041-2060 compared with 1991-2020, moderate emissions
By the 2050s, Baotou's climate will still be more like its own today than any other large city's. The nearest other is Zhangjiakou (China).
+1.9°C
Mean temperature over the year
+2.1°C
Highest in the warmest month
+2.1°C
Lowest in the coldest month
+20%
Precipitation over the year
Under high emissions, the nearest is Fushun (China), and only in part.
Its own climate today is 2.3 σ away. How close the match is: 3.0 σ to the climate of Zhangjiakou today, where under 2 is close and over 4 is no match (Mahony et al. 2017). 2 of 3 climate model runs name the same city. Seasonal temperature and rain are compared, not extremes, city heat or the sea.
Where else Baotou stands out
2.06 m/s²
Earthquake shaking, once in 475 years
Shanghai: 0.35 m/s².
Higher than in 81% of the world's 627 large cities
Hazards at Baotou
Read at the city's centre and compared with the Atlas's 630 large cities. Moderate emissions is the IPCC's scenario SSP2-4.5.
| Hazard | Baotou | Among large cities | In China |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hot days in 2025, over 35 °C | 0 days | ||
| Tropical nights in 2025, over 20 °C | 9 days | Among large cities: above 21% | In China: 129 of 135 |
| Hottest day of 2025 | 34.3°C | Among large cities: above 32% | In China: 113 of 135 |
| Warming by 2050, moderate emissions | +2.8°C | Among large cities: above 95% | In China: 9 of 135 |
| Days with 20 mm of rain or more in 2025 | 6 days | Among large cities: above 37% | In China: 120 of 135 |
| River flood depth, 100-year event | Dry at the city centre point | ||
| Coastal flood depth, 100-year event | Dry at the city centre point | ||
| Water stress | Extremely High (>80%) | Among large cities: above 70% | In China: 1 of 135 |
| Drought risk | Medium-High | Among large cities: above 13% | In China: 74 of 135 |
| Earthquake shaking, once in 475 years | 2.06 m/s² | Among large cities: above 81% | In China: 10 of 135 |
| Land burned in an average year | 0% | ||
| Cyclone wind, once in 100 years | 0 m/s |
Flood depth is read in a single 1 km cell at the city's centre, in today's climate. Other parts of the city can still flood. The country page names the deepest point near a coastal city in 2080, so its figure can be higher. See how deep a river flood reaches around Baotou on the live map
See the earthquake hazard around Baotou on the live map
2.06 m/s² © OpenStreetMap Large cities in China
- Shanghai
- Beijing
- Guangzhou
- Shenzhen
- Wuhan
- Tianjin
- Chongqing
- Yangzhou
- Dongguan
- Chengdu
- Xi'an
- Hechi
- Nanjing
- Guiyang
- Harbin
- Ürümqi
- Zhangzhou
- Shiyan
- Changchun
- Dalian
- Zibo
- Hangzhou
- Kunming
- Taiyuan
- Huizhou
- Qingdao
- Yinchuan
- Jinan
- Zhengzhou
- Fuzhou
- Changsha
- Xiangtan
- Lanzhou
- Xiamen
- Lianshan
- Shijiazhuang
- Jilin City
- Wenzhou
- Nanchang
- Nantong
- Nanchong
- Nanning
- Zaozhuang
- Yantai
- Xuzhou
- Linyi
- Haikou
- Zunyi
- Hefei
- Lianyungang
- Suzhou
- Nanyang
- Ningbo
- Tangshan
- Datong
- Jiangmen
- Shucheng
- Fuyang
- Shangqiu
- Wuxi
- Qingyuan
- Hohhot
- Luoyang
- Daqing
- Wanzhou
- Suzhou
- Qiqihar
- Anshan
- Handan
- Yancheng
- Taizhou
- Shantou
- Zhanjiang
- Guilin
- Xiantao
- Zhaoqing
- Weifang
- Xinyang
- Putian
- Luzhou
- Ganzhou
- Liuzhou
- Fushun
- Changde
- Neijiang
- Quanzhou
- Kaifeng
- Huainan
- Baoji
- Suining
- Mianyang
- Heshan
- Yichang
- Heze
- Changzhou
- Luohe
- Yangjiang
- Chifeng
- Xuchang
- Huai'an
- Huzhou
- Liaocheng
- Tianshui
- Liupanshui
- Changzhi
- Weinan
- Jining
- Jiaxing
- Jiujiang
- Leshan
- Anyang
- Shangrao
- Yulin
- Xianyang
- Baoding
- Zigong
- Ankang
- Jinhua
- Zhuzhou
- Xiangyang
- Zhucheng
- Xining
- Xinxiang
- Zhangjiakou
- Yichun
- Shaoguan
- Zhuhai
- Jiamusi
- Hengyang
- Benxi
- Hanzhong
- Qinhuangdao
- Yongzhou
- Baoshan
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Source: Criora (criora.com), based on ECMWF, NEX-GDDP-CMIP6, WRI, IPCC, GSHAP, GFED500
APA
Criora. (2026). Baotou, China: climate risk profile [Data set]. Retrieved November 2, 2026, from https://criora.com/atlas/CHN/baotou BibTeX
@misc{criora_atlas_CHN_baotou_2026,
author = {{Criora}},
title = {Baotou, China: climate risk profile},
year = {2026},
url = {https://criora.com/atlas/CHN/baotou},
urldate = {2026-11-02}
} Each reading stays under its source's terms; the sources are named on this page.
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