Climate risk in Shanghai
Shanghai, China · 15M people in the urban area
What threatens Shanghai most
- Water stress
- Extremely High WRI Aqueduct
- Drought
- High WRI Aqueduct
- Cyclone wind
- Category 1 once in 100 years IRIS
Tsunamis and landslides are not rated for a single city here. Climate risk profile of China
The sea at Shanghai is projected to rise 322 mm by 2050 under moderate emissions.
Guangzhou: 190 mm.
The highest of the 31 large cities in China.
Shanghai's climate in the 2050s
2041-2060 compared with 1991-2020, moderate emissions
By the 2050s, Shanghai is projected to have the climate that Yongzhou (China) has today.
+1.7°C
Mean temperature over the year
+1.6°C
Highest in the warmest month
+1.7°C
Lowest in the coldest month
+1%
Precipitation over the year
Under high emissions, Shanghai would have the climate that Yongzhou (China) has today.
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How close the match is: 0.0 σ to the climate of Yongzhou today, where under 2 is close and over 4 is no match (Mahony et al. 2017). 2 of 3 climate model runs name the same city. Seasonal temperature and rain are compared, not extremes, city heat or the sea.
Hazards at Shanghai
Read at the city's centre and compared with the Atlas's 630 large cities. Moderate emissions is the IPCC's scenario SSP2-4.5.
| Hazard | Shanghai | Among large cities | In China |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hot days in 2025, over 35 °C | 16 days | Among large cities: above 63% | In China: 73 of 135 |
| Tropical nights in 2025, over 20 °C | 146 days | Among large cities: above 62% | In China: 43 of 135 |
| Hottest day of 2025 | 37°C | Among large cities: above 56% | In China: 77 of 135 |
| Warming by 2050, moderate emissions | +2.1°C | Among large cities: above 59% | In China: 68 of 135 |
| Days with 20 mm of rain or more in 2025 | 12 days | Among large cities: above 60% | In China: 85 of 135 |
| River flood depth, 100-year event | Dry at the city centre point | ||
| Coastal flood depth, 100-year event | Dry at the city centre point | ||
| Sea level rise by 2050, moderate emissions | 322 mm | Among large cities: above 92% | In China: 1 of 31 |
| Water stress | Extremely High (>80%) | Among large cities: above 70% | In China: 1 of 135 |
| Drought risk | High | Among large cities: above 50% | In China: 1 of 135 |
| Earthquake shaking, once in 475 years | 0.35 m/s² | Among large cities: above 35% | In China: 85 of 135 |
| Land burned in an average year | 0% | ||
| Cyclone wind, once in 100 years | 39.11 m/s |
Flood depth is read in a single 1 km cell at the city's centre, in today's climate. Other parts of the city can still flood. The country page names the deepest point near a coastal city in 2080, so its figure can be higher. See how deep a river flood reaches around Shanghai on the live map
See the hot days around Shanghai on the live map
16 days © OpenStreetMap Large cities in China
- Beijing
- Guangzhou
- Shenzhen
- Wuhan
- Tianjin
- Chongqing
- Yangzhou
- Dongguan
- Chengdu
- Xi'an
- Hechi
- Nanjing
- Guiyang
- Harbin
- Ürümqi
- Zhangzhou
- Shiyan
- Changchun
- Dalian
- Zibo
- Hangzhou
- Kunming
- Taiyuan
- Huizhou
- Qingdao
- Yinchuan
- Jinan
- Zhengzhou
- Fuzhou
- Changsha
- Xiangtan
- Lanzhou
- Xiamen
- Lianshan
- Shijiazhuang
- Jilin City
- Wenzhou
- Nanchang
- Nantong
- Nanchong
- Nanning
- Zaozhuang
- Yantai
- Xuzhou
- Linyi
- Haikou
- Zunyi
- Baotou
- Hefei
- Lianyungang
- Suzhou
- Nanyang
- Ningbo
- Tangshan
- Datong
- Jiangmen
- Shucheng
- Fuyang
- Shangqiu
- Wuxi
- Qingyuan
- Hohhot
- Luoyang
- Daqing
- Wanzhou
- Suzhou
- Qiqihar
- Anshan
- Handan
- Yancheng
- Taizhou
- Shantou
- Zhanjiang
- Guilin
- Xiantao
- Zhaoqing
- Weifang
- Xinyang
- Putian
- Luzhou
- Ganzhou
- Liuzhou
- Fushun
- Changde
- Neijiang
- Quanzhou
- Kaifeng
- Huainan
- Baoji
- Suining
- Mianyang
- Heshan
- Yichang
- Heze
- Changzhou
- Luohe
- Yangjiang
- Chifeng
- Xuchang
- Huai'an
- Huzhou
- Liaocheng
- Tianshui
- Liupanshui
- Changzhi
- Weinan
- Jining
- Jiaxing
- Jiujiang
- Leshan
- Anyang
- Shangrao
- Yulin
- Xianyang
- Baoding
- Zigong
- Ankang
- Jinhua
- Zhuzhou
- Xiangyang
- Zhucheng
- Xining
- Xinxiang
- Zhangjiakou
- Yichun
- Shaoguan
- Zhuhai
- Jiamusi
- Hengyang
- Benxi
- Hanzhong
- Qinhuangdao
- Yongzhou
- Baoshan
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Source: Criora (criora.com), based on ECMWF, NEX-GDDP-CMIP6, WRI, IPCC, GSHAP, GFED500, IRIS: the Imperial College Storm Model dataset
APA
Criora. (2026). Shanghai, China: climate risk profile [Data set]. Retrieved November 2, 2026, from https://criora.com/atlas/CHN/shanghai BibTeX
@misc{criora_atlas_CHN_shanghai_2026,
author = {{Criora}},
title = {Shanghai, China: climate risk profile},
year = {2026},
url = {https://criora.com/atlas/CHN/shanghai},
urldate = {2026-11-02}
} Each reading stays under its source's terms; the sources are named on this page.
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