Climate risk in Changde
Hunan, China · 1.5M people in the urban area
What threatens Changde most
- Drought
- Medium-High WRI Aqueduct
- Water stress
- Low WRI Aqueduct
- River flood
- 1.13 m in a 100-year flood
Tsunamis and landslides are not rated for a single city here. Climate risk profile of China
A 100-year river flood would stand 1.13 m deep in the centre of Changde.
Shanghai: Dry at the city centre point.
Changde's climate in the 2050s
2041-2060 compared with 1991-2020, moderate emissions
By the 2050s, Changde is projected to have the climate that Hengyang (China) has today.
+1.7°C
Mean temperature over the year
+1.6°C
Highest in the warmest month
+1.8°C
Lowest in the coldest month
+3%
Precipitation over the year
Under high emissions, Changde would have the climate that Hengyang (China) has today.
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How close the match is: 0.0 σ to the climate of Hengyang today, where under 2 is close and over 4 is no match (Mahony et al. 2017). 3 of 3 climate model runs name the same city. Seasonal temperature and rain are compared, not extremes, city heat or the sea.
Where else Changde stands out
18 days
Days with 20 mm of rain or more in 2025
Shanghai: 12 days.
Higher than in 79% of the world's 630 large cities
Hazards at Changde
Read at the city's centre and compared with the Atlas's 630 large cities. Moderate emissions is the IPCC's scenario SSP2-4.5.
| Hazard | Changde | Among large cities | In China |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hot days in 2025, over 35 °C | 35 days | Among large cities: above 73% | In China: 38 of 135 |
| Tropical nights in 2025, over 20 °C | 143 days | Among large cities: above 62% | In China: 50 of 135 |
| Hottest day of 2025 | 38.4°C | Among large cities: above 67% | In China: 51 of 135 |
| Warming by 2050, moderate emissions | +2.3°C | Among large cities: above 74% | In China: 29 of 135 |
| Days with 20 mm of rain or more in 2025 | 18 days | Among large cities: above 79% | In China: 35 of 135 |
| River flood depth, 100-year event | 1.13 m | Among large cities: above 95% | In China: 9 of 135 |
| Coastal flood depth, 100-year event | Dry at the city centre point | ||
| Water stress | Low (<10%) | Among large cities: above 0% | In China: 103 of 135 |
| Drought risk | Medium-High | Among large cities: above 13% | In China: 74 of 135 |
| Earthquake shaking, once in 475 years | 0.08 m/s² | Among large cities: above 8% | In China: 127 of 135 |
| Land burned in an average year | 0% | ||
| Cyclone wind, once in 100 years | 0 m/s |
Flood depth is read in a single 1 km cell at the city's centre, in today's climate. Other parts of the city can still flood. The country page names the deepest point near a coastal city in 2080, so its figure can be higher. See how deep a river flood reaches around Changde on the live map
See the heavy rain days around Changde on the live map
18 days © OpenStreetMap Large cities in China
- Shanghai
- Beijing
- Guangzhou
- Shenzhen
- Wuhan
- Tianjin
- Chongqing
- Yangzhou
- Dongguan
- Chengdu
- Xi'an
- Hechi
- Nanjing
- Guiyang
- Harbin
- Ürümqi
- Zhangzhou
- Shiyan
- Changchun
- Dalian
- Zibo
- Hangzhou
- Kunming
- Taiyuan
- Huizhou
- Qingdao
- Yinchuan
- Jinan
- Zhengzhou
- Fuzhou
- Changsha
- Xiangtan
- Lanzhou
- Xiamen
- Lianshan
- Shijiazhuang
- Jilin City
- Wenzhou
- Nanchang
- Nantong
- Nanchong
- Nanning
- Zaozhuang
- Yantai
- Xuzhou
- Linyi
- Haikou
- Zunyi
- Baotou
- Hefei
- Lianyungang
- Suzhou
- Nanyang
- Ningbo
- Tangshan
- Datong
- Jiangmen
- Shucheng
- Fuyang
- Shangqiu
- Wuxi
- Qingyuan
- Hohhot
- Luoyang
- Daqing
- Wanzhou
- Suzhou
- Qiqihar
- Anshan
- Handan
- Yancheng
- Taizhou
- Shantou
- Zhanjiang
- Guilin
- Xiantao
- Zhaoqing
- Weifang
- Xinyang
- Putian
- Luzhou
- Ganzhou
- Liuzhou
- Fushun
- Neijiang
- Quanzhou
- Kaifeng
- Huainan
- Baoji
- Suining
- Mianyang
- Heshan
- Yichang
- Heze
- Changzhou
- Luohe
- Yangjiang
- Chifeng
- Xuchang
- Huai'an
- Huzhou
- Liaocheng
- Tianshui
- Liupanshui
- Changzhi
- Weinan
- Jining
- Jiaxing
- Jiujiang
- Leshan
- Anyang
- Shangrao
- Yulin
- Xianyang
- Baoding
- Zigong
- Ankang
- Jinhua
- Zhuzhou
- Xiangyang
- Zhucheng
- Xining
- Xinxiang
- Zhangjiakou
- Yichun
- Shaoguan
- Zhuhai
- Jiamusi
- Hengyang
- Benxi
- Hanzhong
- Qinhuangdao
- Yongzhou
- Baoshan
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Source: Criora (criora.com), based on ECMWF, NEX-GDDP-CMIP6, WRI, IPCC, GSHAP, GFED500
APA
Criora. (2026). Changde, China: climate risk profile [Data set]. Retrieved November 2, 2026, from https://criora.com/atlas/CHN/changde BibTeX
@misc{criora_atlas_CHN_changde_2026,
author = {{Criora}},
title = {Changde, China: climate risk profile},
year = {2026},
url = {https://criora.com/atlas/CHN/changde},
urldate = {2026-11-02}
} Each reading stays under its source's terms; the sources are named on this page.
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