Climate risk in Guangzhou
Guangdong, China · 8.8M people in the urban area
What threatens Guangzhou most
- Drought
- Medium-High WRI Aqueduct
- Cyclone wind
- Category 2 once in 100 years IRIS
- Water stress
- Low WRI Aqueduct
Tsunamis and landslides are not rated for a single city here. Climate risk profile of China
Guangzhou had 22 days with 20 mm of rain or more in 2025.
Shanghai: 12 days.
Guangzhou's climate in the 2050s
2041-2060 compared with 1991-2020, moderate emissions
By the 2050s, Guangzhou's climate comes closest to that of Zhaoqing (China) today, though no large city matches it well.
Such a climate exists today, though not in any large city. China: the place on the map
+1.5°C
Mean temperature over the year
+1.2°C
Highest in the warmest month
+1.7°C
Lowest in the coldest month
+2%
Precipitation over the year
Under high emissions, no large city has such a climate today; the nearest is Hanoi (Vietnam).
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How close the match is: 3.0 σ to the climate of Zhaoqing today, where under 2 is close and over 4 is no match (Mahony et al. 2017). 3 of 3 climate model runs name the same city. Seasonal temperature and rain are compared, not extremes, city heat or the sea.
Where else Guangzhou stands out
213 days
Tropical nights in 2025, over 20 °C
Shanghai: 146 days.
Higher than in 76% of the world's 630 large cities
Hazards at Guangzhou
Read at the city's centre and compared with the Atlas's 630 large cities. Moderate emissions is the IPCC's scenario SSP2-4.5.
| Hazard | Guangzhou | Among large cities | In China |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hot days in 2025, over 35 °C | 25 days | Among large cities: above 69% | In China: 53 of 135 |
| Tropical nights in 2025, over 20 °C | 213 days | Among large cities: above 76% | In China: 7 of 135 |
| Hottest day of 2025 | 36.9°C | Among large cities: above 55% | In China: 80 of 135 |
| Warming by 2050, moderate emissions | +1.8°C | Among large cities: above 36% | In China: 124 of 135 |
| Days with 20 mm of rain or more in 2025 | 22 days | Among large cities: above 88% | In China: 13 of 135 |
| River flood depth, 100-year event | Dry at the city centre point | ||
| Coastal flood depth, 100-year event | Dry at the city centre point | ||
| Sea level rise by 2050, moderate emissions | 190 mm | Among large cities: above 22% | In China: 26 of 31 |
| Water stress | Low (<10%) | Among large cities: above 0% | In China: 103 of 135 |
| Drought risk | Medium-High | Among large cities: above 13% | In China: 74 of 135 |
| Earthquake shaking, once in 475 years | 0.27 m/s² | Among large cities: above 28% | In China: 95 of 135 |
| Land burned in an average year | 0% | ||
| Cyclone wind, once in 100 years | 47.54 m/s |
Flood depth is read in a single 1 km cell at the city's centre, in today's climate. Other parts of the city can still flood. The country page names the deepest point near a coastal city in 2080, so its figure can be higher. See how deep a river flood reaches around Guangzhou on the live map
See the tropical nights around Guangzhou on the live map
213 days © OpenStreetMap Large cities in China
- Shanghai
- Beijing
- Shenzhen
- Wuhan
- Tianjin
- Chongqing
- Yangzhou
- Dongguan
- Chengdu
- Xi'an
- Hechi
- Nanjing
- Guiyang
- Harbin
- Ürümqi
- Zhangzhou
- Shiyan
- Changchun
- Dalian
- Zibo
- Hangzhou
- Kunming
- Taiyuan
- Huizhou
- Qingdao
- Yinchuan
- Jinan
- Zhengzhou
- Fuzhou
- Changsha
- Xiangtan
- Lanzhou
- Xiamen
- Lianshan
- Shijiazhuang
- Jilin City
- Wenzhou
- Nanchang
- Nantong
- Nanchong
- Nanning
- Zaozhuang
- Yantai
- Xuzhou
- Linyi
- Haikou
- Zunyi
- Baotou
- Hefei
- Lianyungang
- Suzhou
- Nanyang
- Ningbo
- Tangshan
- Datong
- Jiangmen
- Shucheng
- Fuyang
- Shangqiu
- Wuxi
- Qingyuan
- Hohhot
- Luoyang
- Daqing
- Wanzhou
- Suzhou
- Qiqihar
- Anshan
- Handan
- Yancheng
- Taizhou
- Shantou
- Zhanjiang
- Guilin
- Xiantao
- Zhaoqing
- Weifang
- Xinyang
- Putian
- Luzhou
- Ganzhou
- Liuzhou
- Fushun
- Changde
- Neijiang
- Quanzhou
- Kaifeng
- Huainan
- Baoji
- Suining
- Mianyang
- Heshan
- Yichang
- Heze
- Changzhou
- Luohe
- Yangjiang
- Chifeng
- Xuchang
- Huai'an
- Huzhou
- Liaocheng
- Tianshui
- Liupanshui
- Changzhi
- Weinan
- Jining
- Jiaxing
- Jiujiang
- Leshan
- Anyang
- Shangrao
- Yulin
- Xianyang
- Baoding
- Zigong
- Ankang
- Jinhua
- Zhuzhou
- Xiangyang
- Zhucheng
- Xining
- Xinxiang
- Zhangjiakou
- Yichun
- Shaoguan
- Zhuhai
- Jiamusi
- Hengyang
- Benxi
- Hanzhong
- Qinhuangdao
- Yongzhou
- Baoshan
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Source: Criora (criora.com), based on ECMWF, NEX-GDDP-CMIP6, WRI, IPCC, GSHAP, GFED500, IRIS: the Imperial College Storm Model dataset
APA
Criora. (2026). Guangzhou, China: climate risk profile [Data set]. Retrieved November 2, 2026, from https://criora.com/atlas/CHN/guangzhou BibTeX
@misc{criora_atlas_CHN_guangzhou_2026,
author = {{Criora}},
title = {Guangzhou, China: climate risk profile},
year = {2026},
url = {https://criora.com/atlas/CHN/guangzhou},
urldate = {2026-11-02}
} Each reading stays under its source's terms; the sources are named on this page.
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