Criora

Climate risk in Nanchang

Jiangxi, China · 2.4M people in the urban area

What threatens Nanchang most

Drought
Medium-High WRI Aqueduct
Water stress
Low WRI Aqueduct
Earthquake
Low GSHAP

Tsunamis and landslides are not rated for a single city here. Climate risk profile of China

Nanchang had 62 days over 35 °C in 2025.

Shanghai: 16 days.

62 days © OpenStreetMap
0 365 days
See the hot days around Nanchang on the live map

Nanchang's climate in the 2050s

2041-2060 compared with 1991-2020, moderate emissions

By the 2050s, Nanchang is projected to have the climate that Ganzhou (China) has today.

Climate risk in Ganzhou

+1.7°C

Mean temperature over the year

+1.4°C

Highest in the warmest month

+1.7°C

Lowest in the coldest month

+4%

Precipitation over the year

Under high emissions, the nearest is Ganzhou (China), and only in part.

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How close the match is: 1.7 σ to the climate of Ganzhou today, where under 2 is close and over 4 is no match (Mahony et al. 2017). 2 of 3 climate model runs name the same city. Seasonal temperature and rain are compared, not extremes, city heat or the sea.

Where else Nanchang stands out

17 days

Days with 20 mm of rain or more in 2025

Shanghai: 12 days.

Higher than in 77% of the world's 630 large cities

Hazards at Nanchang

Read at the city's centre and compared with the Atlas's 630 large cities. Moderate emissions is the IPCC's scenario SSP2-4.5.

Hot days in 2025, over 35 °C 62 days Among large cities: above 84% In China: 6 of 135
Tropical nights in 2025, over 20 °C 169 days Among large cities: above 68% In China: 22 of 135
Hottest day of 2025 38.9°C Among large cities: above 70% In China: 46 of 135
Warming by 2050, moderate emissions +2.2°C Among large cities: above 64% In China: 52 of 135
Days with 20 mm of rain or more in 2025 17 days Among large cities: above 77% In China: 42 of 135
River flood depth, 100-year event Dry at the city centre point
Coastal flood depth, 100-year event Dry at the city centre point
Water stress Low (<10%) Among large cities: above 0% In China: 103 of 135
Drought risk Medium-High Among large cities: above 13% In China: 74 of 135
Earthquake shaking, once in 475 years 0.08 m/s² Among large cities: above 7% In China: 134 of 135
Land burned in an average year 0%
Cyclone wind, once in 100 years 23.59 m/s

Flood depth is read in a single 1 km cell at the city's centre, in today's climate. Other parts of the city can still flood. The country page names the deepest point near a coastal city in 2080, so its figure can be higher. See how deep a river flood reaches around Nanchang on the live map

See the heavy rain days around Nanchang on the live map

Large cities near Nanchang

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In a line

Source: Criora (criora.com), based on ECMWF, NEX-GDDP-CMIP6, WRI, IPCC, GSHAP, GFED500

APA

Criora. (2026). Nanchang, China: climate risk profile [Data set]. Retrieved November 2, 2026, from https://criora.com/atlas/CHN/nanchang

BibTeX

@misc{criora_atlas_CHN_nanchang_2026,
  author = {{Criora}},
  title = {Nanchang, China: climate risk profile},
  year = {2026},
  url = {https://criora.com/atlas/CHN/nanchang},
  urldate = {2026-11-02}
}

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