Climate risk in Nanning
Guangxi, China · 2.2M people in the urban area
What threatens Nanning most
- Drought
- Medium-High WRI Aqueduct
- Cyclone wind
- Category 1 once in 100 years IRIS
- Water stress
- Low WRI Aqueduct
Tsunamis and landslides are not rated for a single city here. Climate risk profile of China
Nanning had 20 days with 20 mm of rain or more in 2025.
Shanghai: 12 days.
Nanning's climate in the 2050s
2041-2060 compared with 1991-2020, moderate emissions
By the 2050s, Nanning's climate comes closest to that of Dongguan (China) today, though no large city matches it well.
Such a climate exists today, though not in any large city. China: the place on the map
+1.6°C
Mean temperature over the year
+1.4°C
Highest in the warmest month
+1.7°C
Lowest in the coldest month
+2%
Precipitation over the year
Under high emissions, no large city has such a climate today; the nearest is Hanoi (Vietnam).
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How close the match is: 3.5 σ to the climate of Dongguan today, where under 2 is close and over 4 is no match (Mahony et al. 2017). 3 of 3 climate model runs name the same city. Seasonal temperature and rain are compared, not extremes, city heat or the sea.
Hazards at Nanning
Read at the city's centre and compared with the Atlas's 630 large cities. Moderate emissions is the IPCC's scenario SSP2-4.5.
| Hazard | Nanning | Among large cities | In China |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hot days in 2025, over 35 °C | 18 days | Among large cities: above 65% | In China: 69 of 135 |
| Tropical nights in 2025, over 20 °C | 196 days | Among large cities: above 73% | In China: 13 of 135 |
| Hottest day of 2025 | 36°C | Among large cities: above 48% | In China: 91 of 135 |
| Warming by 2050, moderate emissions | +2°C | Among large cities: above 47% | In China: 110 of 135 |
| Days with 20 mm of rain or more in 2025 | 20 days | Among large cities: above 85% | In China: 20 of 135 |
| River flood depth, 100-year event | Dry at the city centre point | ||
| Coastal flood depth, 100-year event | Dry at the city centre point | ||
| Water stress | Low (<10%) | Among large cities: above 0% | In China: 103 of 135 |
| Drought risk | Medium-High | Among large cities: above 13% | In China: 74 of 135 |
| Earthquake shaking, once in 475 years | 0.35 m/s² | Among large cities: above 35% | In China: 84 of 135 |
| Land burned in an average year | 0% | ||
| Cyclone wind, once in 100 years | 34.4 m/s |
Flood depth is read in a single 1 km cell at the city's centre, in today's climate. Other parts of the city can still flood. The country page names the deepest point near a coastal city in 2080, so its figure can be higher. See how deep a river flood reaches around Nanning on the live map
See the hot days around Nanning on the live map
18 days © OpenStreetMap Large cities in China
- Shanghai
- Beijing
- Guangzhou
- Shenzhen
- Wuhan
- Tianjin
- Chongqing
- Yangzhou
- Dongguan
- Chengdu
- Xi'an
- Hechi
- Nanjing
- Guiyang
- Harbin
- Ürümqi
- Zhangzhou
- Shiyan
- Changchun
- Dalian
- Zibo
- Hangzhou
- Kunming
- Taiyuan
- Huizhou
- Qingdao
- Yinchuan
- Jinan
- Zhengzhou
- Fuzhou
- Changsha
- Xiangtan
- Lanzhou
- Xiamen
- Lianshan
- Shijiazhuang
- Jilin City
- Wenzhou
- Nanchang
- Nantong
- Nanchong
- Zaozhuang
- Yantai
- Xuzhou
- Linyi
- Haikou
- Zunyi
- Baotou
- Hefei
- Lianyungang
- Suzhou
- Nanyang
- Ningbo
- Tangshan
- Datong
- Jiangmen
- Shucheng
- Fuyang
- Shangqiu
- Wuxi
- Qingyuan
- Hohhot
- Luoyang
- Daqing
- Wanzhou
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- Qiqihar
- Anshan
- Handan
- Yancheng
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- Zhaoqing
- Weifang
- Xinyang
- Putian
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- Neijiang
- Quanzhou
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- Huainan
- Baoji
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- Yangjiang
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Source: Criora (criora.com), based on ECMWF, NEX-GDDP-CMIP6, WRI, IPCC, GSHAP, GFED500, IRIS: the Imperial College Storm Model dataset
APA
Criora. (2026). Nanning, China: climate risk profile [Data set]. Retrieved November 2, 2026, from https://criora.com/atlas/CHN/nanning BibTeX
@misc{criora_atlas_CHN_nanning_2026,
author = {{Criora}},
title = {Nanning, China: climate risk profile},
year = {2026},
url = {https://criora.com/atlas/CHN/nanning},
urldate = {2026-11-02}
} Each reading stays under its source's terms; the sources are named on this page.
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