Climate risk in Leshan
Sichuan, China · 1.2M people in the urban area
What threatens Leshan most
- Drought
- Medium-High WRI Aqueduct
- Earthquake
- Moderate GSHAP
- Water stress
- Low-Medium WRI Aqueduct
Tsunamis and landslides are not rated for a single city here. Climate risk profile of China
An earthquake's shaking at Leshan can reach 2.29 m/s², as strong as a once-in-475-years event.
Shanghai: 0.35 m/s².
Leshan's climate in the 2050s
2041-2060 compared with 1991-2020, moderate emissions
By the 2050s, Leshan's climate comes closest to that of Zigong (China) today, though no large city matches it well.
No place on Earth matches it well today either. China: the place on the map
+1.7°C
Mean temperature over the year
+1.8°C
Highest in the warmest month
+1.8°C
Lowest in the coldest month
+1%
Precipitation over the year
Under high emissions, the nearest is Hechi (China), and only in part.
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How close the match is: 3.2 σ to the climate of Zigong today, where under 2 is close and over 4 is no match (Mahony et al. 2017). 2 of 3 climate model runs name the same city. Seasonal temperature and rain are compared, not extremes, city heat or the sea.
Hazards at Leshan
Read at the city's centre and compared with the Atlas's 630 large cities. Moderate emissions is the IPCC's scenario SSP2-4.5.
| Hazard | Leshan | Among large cities | In China |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hot days in 2025, over 35 °C | 23 days | Among large cities: above 68% | In China: 57 of 135 |
| Tropical nights in 2025, over 20 °C | 146 days | Among large cities: above 62% | In China: 43 of 135 |
| Hottest day of 2025 | 39.3°C | Among large cities: above 72% | In China: 39 of 135 |
| Warming by 2050, moderate emissions | +2.1°C | Among large cities: above 57% | In China: 79 of 135 |
| Days with 20 mm of rain or more in 2025 | 15 days | Among large cities: above 71% | In China: 52 of 135 |
| River flood depth, 100-year event | Dry at the city centre point | ||
| Coastal flood depth, 100-year event | Dry at the city centre point | ||
| Water stress | Low-Medium (10-20%) | Among large cities: above 30% | In China: 88 of 135 |
| Drought risk | Medium-High | Among large cities: above 13% | In China: 74 of 135 |
| Earthquake shaking, once in 475 years | 2.29 m/s² | Among large cities: above 84% | In China: 7 of 135 |
| Land burned in an average year | 0% | ||
| Cyclone wind, once in 100 years | 0 m/s |
Flood depth is read in a single 1 km cell at the city's centre, in today's climate. Other parts of the city can still flood. The country page names the deepest point near a coastal city in 2080, so its figure can be higher. See how deep a river flood reaches around Leshan on the live map
See the hot days around Leshan on the live map
23 days © OpenStreetMap Large cities in China
- Shanghai
- Beijing
- Guangzhou
- Shenzhen
- Wuhan
- Tianjin
- Chongqing
- Yangzhou
- Dongguan
- Chengdu
- Xi'an
- Hechi
- Nanjing
- Guiyang
- Harbin
- Ürümqi
- Zhangzhou
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- Changchun
- Dalian
- Zibo
- Hangzhou
- Kunming
- Taiyuan
- Huizhou
- Qingdao
- Yinchuan
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- Nantong
- Nanchong
- Nanning
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Source: Criora (criora.com), based on ECMWF, NEX-GDDP-CMIP6, WRI, IPCC, GSHAP, GFED500
APA
Criora. (2026). Leshan, China: climate risk profile [Data set]. Retrieved November 2, 2026, from https://criora.com/atlas/CHN/leshan BibTeX
@misc{criora_atlas_CHN_leshan_2026,
author = {{Criora}},
title = {Leshan, China: climate risk profile},
year = {2026},
url = {https://criora.com/atlas/CHN/leshan},
urldate = {2026-11-02}
} Each reading stays under its source's terms; the sources are named on this page.
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