Climate risk in Shenzhen
Guangdong, China · 7.6M people in the urban area
What threatens Shenzhen most
- Cyclone wind
- Category 3 once in 100 years IRIS
- Drought
- Medium-High WRI Aqueduct
- Water stress
- Low-Medium WRI Aqueduct
Tsunamis and landslides are not rated for a single city here. Climate risk profile of China
Shenzhen had 23 days with 20 mm of rain or more in 2025.
Shanghai: 12 days.
Shenzhen's climate in the 2050s
2041-2060 compared with 1991-2020, moderate emissions
By the 2050s, Shenzhen is projected to have the climate that Hanoi (Vietnam) has today.
+1.4°C
Mean temperature over the year
+1.1°C
Highest in the warmest month
+1.5°C
Lowest in the coldest month
+3%
Precipitation over the year
Under high emissions, the nearest is Hanoi (Vietnam), and only in part.
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How close the match is: 1.2 σ to the climate of Hanoi today, where under 2 is close and over 4 is no match (Mahony et al. 2017). 3 of 3 climate model runs name the same city. Seasonal temperature and rain are compared, not extremes, city heat or the sea.
Where else Shenzhen stands out
215 days
Tropical nights in 2025, over 20 °C
Shanghai: 146 days.
Higher than in 76% of the world's 630 large cities
Hazards at Shenzhen
Read at the city's centre and compared with the Atlas's 630 large cities. Moderate emissions is the IPCC's scenario SSP2-4.5.
| Hazard | Shenzhen | Among large cities | In China |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hot days in 2025, over 35 °C | 0 days | ||
| Tropical nights in 2025, over 20 °C | 215 days | Among large cities: above 76% | In China: 5 of 135 |
| Hottest day of 2025 | 34.1°C | Among large cities: above 30% | In China: 115 of 135 |
| Warming by 2050, moderate emissions | +1.8°C | Among large cities: above 40% | In China: 118 of 135 |
| Days with 20 mm of rain or more in 2025 | 23 days | Among large cities: above 90% | In China: 10 of 135 |
| River flood depth, 100-year event | Dry at the city centre point | ||
| Coastal flood depth, 100-year event | Dry at the city centre point | ||
| Sea level rise by 2050, moderate emissions | 206 mm | Among large cities: above 43% | In China: 8 of 31 |
| Water stress | Low-Medium (10-20%) | Among large cities: above 30% | In China: 88 of 135 |
| Drought risk | Medium-High | Among large cities: above 13% | In China: 74 of 135 |
| Earthquake shaking, once in 475 years | 0.25 m/s² | Among large cities: above 27% | In China: 96 of 135 |
| Land burned in an average year | 0% | ||
| Cyclone wind, once in 100 years | 53.37 m/s |
Flood depth is read in a single 1 km cell at the city's centre, in today's climate. Other parts of the city can still flood. The country page names the deepest point near a coastal city in 2080, so its figure can be higher. See how deep a river flood reaches around Shenzhen on the live map
See the tropical nights around Shenzhen on the live map
215 days © OpenStreetMap Large cities in China
- Shanghai
- Beijing
- Guangzhou
- Wuhan
- Tianjin
- Chongqing
- Yangzhou
- Dongguan
- Chengdu
- Xi'an
- Hechi
- Nanjing
- Guiyang
- Harbin
- Ürümqi
- Zhangzhou
- Shiyan
- Changchun
- Dalian
- Zibo
- Hangzhou
- Kunming
- Taiyuan
- Huizhou
- Qingdao
- Yinchuan
- Jinan
- Zhengzhou
- Fuzhou
- Changsha
- Xiangtan
- Lanzhou
- Xiamen
- Lianshan
- Shijiazhuang
- Jilin City
- Wenzhou
- Nanchang
- Nantong
- Nanchong
- Nanning
- Zaozhuang
- Yantai
- Xuzhou
- Linyi
- Haikou
- Zunyi
- Baotou
- Hefei
- Lianyungang
- Suzhou
- Nanyang
- Ningbo
- Tangshan
- Datong
- Jiangmen
- Shucheng
- Fuyang
- Shangqiu
- Wuxi
- Qingyuan
- Hohhot
- Luoyang
- Daqing
- Wanzhou
- Suzhou
- Qiqihar
- Anshan
- Handan
- Yancheng
- Taizhou
- Shantou
- Zhanjiang
- Guilin
- Xiantao
- Zhaoqing
- Weifang
- Xinyang
- Putian
- Luzhou
- Ganzhou
- Liuzhou
- Fushun
- Changde
- Neijiang
- Quanzhou
- Kaifeng
- Huainan
- Baoji
- Suining
- Mianyang
- Heshan
- Yichang
- Heze
- Changzhou
- Luohe
- Yangjiang
- Chifeng
- Xuchang
- Huai'an
- Huzhou
- Liaocheng
- Tianshui
- Liupanshui
- Changzhi
- Weinan
- Jining
- Jiaxing
- Jiujiang
- Leshan
- Anyang
- Shangrao
- Yulin
- Xianyang
- Baoding
- Zigong
- Ankang
- Jinhua
- Zhuzhou
- Xiangyang
- Zhucheng
- Xining
- Xinxiang
- Zhangjiakou
- Yichun
- Shaoguan
- Zhuhai
- Jiamusi
- Hengyang
- Benxi
- Hanzhong
- Qinhuangdao
- Yongzhou
- Baoshan
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Source: Criora (criora.com), based on ECMWF, NEX-GDDP-CMIP6, WRI, IPCC, GSHAP, GFED500, IRIS: the Imperial College Storm Model dataset
APA
Criora. (2026). Shenzhen, China: climate risk profile [Data set]. Retrieved November 2, 2026, from https://criora.com/atlas/CHN/shenzhen BibTeX
@misc{criora_atlas_CHN_shenzhen_2026,
author = {{Criora}},
title = {Shenzhen, China: climate risk profile},
year = {2026},
url = {https://criora.com/atlas/CHN/shenzhen},
urldate = {2026-11-02}
} Each reading stays under its source's terms; the sources are named on this page.
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