Criora

Climate risk in Kaifeng

Henan, China · 1.5M people in the urban area

What threatens Kaifeng most

Water stress
Extremely High WRI Aqueduct
Drought
High WRI Aqueduct
Earthquake
Low GSHAP

Tsunamis and landslides are not rated for a single city here. Climate risk profile of China

In an average year, fire burns 1% of the land around Kaifeng.

Shanghai: 0%.

1% © OpenStreetMap
0 25 % mean annual burned
See the land burned around Kaifeng on the live map

Kaifeng's climate in the 2050s

2041-2060 compared with 1991-2020, moderate emissions

By the 2050s, Kaifeng is projected to have the climate that Xuchang (China) has today.

Climate risk in Xuchang

+1.8°C

Mean temperature over the year

+1.9°C

Highest in the warmest month

+1.8°C

Lowest in the coldest month

+6%

Precipitation over the year

Under high emissions, Kaifeng would have the climate that Suzhou (China) has today.

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How close the match is: 0.3 σ to the climate of Xuchang today, where under 2 is close and over 4 is no match (Mahony et al. 2017). 3 of 3 climate model runs name the same city. Seasonal temperature and rain are compared, not extremes, city heat or the sea.

Where else Kaifeng stands out

40 days

Hot days in 2025, over 35 °C

Shanghai: 16 days.

Higher than in 77% of the world's 630 large cities

39.9°C

Hottest day of 2025

Shanghai: 37°C.

Higher than in 76% of the world's 630 large cities

Hazards at Kaifeng

Read at the city's centre and compared with the Atlas's 630 large cities. Moderate emissions is the IPCC's scenario SSP2-4.5.

Hot days in 2025, over 35 °C 40 days Among large cities: above 77% In China: 26 of 135
Tropical nights in 2025, over 20 °C 115 days Among large cities: above 55% In China: 71 of 135
Hottest day of 2025 39.9°C Among large cities: above 76% In China: 32 of 135
Warming by 2050, moderate emissions +2°C Among large cities: above 51% In China: 101 of 135
Days with 20 mm of rain or more in 2025 15 days Among large cities: above 71% In China: 52 of 135
River flood depth, 100-year event Dry at the city centre point
Coastal flood depth, 100-year event Dry at the city centre point
Water stress Extremely High (>80%) Among large cities: above 70% In China: 1 of 135
Drought risk High Among large cities: above 50% In China: 1 of 135
Earthquake shaking, once in 475 years 0.75 m/s² Among large cities: above 56% In China: 46 of 135
Land burned in an average year 1% Among large cities: above 83% In China: 14 of 135
Cyclone wind, once in 100 years 0 m/s

Flood depth is read in a single 1 km cell at the city's centre, in today's climate. Other parts of the city can still flood. The country page names the deepest point near a coastal city in 2080, so its figure can be higher. See how deep a river flood reaches around Kaifeng on the live map

See the hot days around Kaifeng on the live map

Large cities near Kaifeng

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In a line

Source: Criora (criora.com), based on ECMWF, NEX-GDDP-CMIP6, WRI, IPCC, GSHAP, GFED500

APA

Criora. (2026). Kaifeng, China: climate risk profile [Data set]. Retrieved November 2, 2026, from https://criora.com/atlas/CHN/kaifeng

BibTeX

@misc{criora_atlas_CHN_kaifeng_2026,
  author = {{Criora}},
  title = {Kaifeng, China: climate risk profile},
  year = {2026},
  url = {https://criora.com/atlas/CHN/kaifeng},
  urldate = {2026-11-02}
}

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