+4.2 °C
Temperature
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- +3.2 °C → +4.2 °C
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- +2.5 °C → +3.0 °C
Hottest month +5.0 °C by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).
Turkmenistan Climate risk profile and hazard map
- Region
- Asia
- Subregion
- Central Asia
- Income
- Upper middle income
- ISO
- TKM
Turkmenistan: mid-pack overall, with adaptation the main pressure.
Live events
Hourly disaster feed, shown alongside the standing risk below. Open the live mapHow risky is Turkmenistan, overall?
The composite and its five dimensions. Higher means more risk.
Medium 53 / 100
5y
- 60 Climate High
- 34 Nature +0.0 Low
- 18 Social Very low
- 75 Governance High
- 76 Adaptation -0.1 High
Which hazards threaten Turkmenistan most?
Physical hazard intensity. INFORM Risk Index, 0 to 10.
- 8.3FloodCritical
- 5.0DRR capacityMedium
Turkmenistan in global context
Risk-ranked against its cohorts. Click any country to open its page.
5
Central Asia
#5 of 5 · median 5034
Asia
#34 of 48 · median 4748
Upper middle income
#48 of 53 · median 44Put two countries head to head
Compare with any neighbour on all risks and their 5-year trajectory.
Turkmenistan: outlook from 2050 to 2100
Projected physical change under a moderate (SSP2-4.5) and a high (SSP5-8.5) emissions pathway.
By 2080 under a high-emissions pathway, Turkmenistan is projected to warm +4.2 °C, with annual rainfall changing +9 mm.
+9 mm
Precipitation
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- +8 mm → +9 mm
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- +4 mm → +5 mm
Driest month 0 mm by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).
59%
Water stress
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- 55% → 59%
- Current path SSP3-7.0
- 40% → 61%
Share of land under high or extreme water stress; 36% today.
0.8%
River flooding
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- 0.8% → 0.8%
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- 1.1% → 1.4%
Land exposed to a 100-year river flood; 0.7% today.
Sea level
Landlocked, not applicable.
Projections from public CMIP6 (WorldClim 2.1, 5-model median, against a 1970-2000 baseline), WRI Aqueduct 4.0 and IPCC AR6 data. Monthly and bioclimatic aggregates, not daily-threshold indices. Forward-looking estimates, not a re-scored site risk.
Indicator panel
Every source-level indicator behind the dimensions above. Sort by score, value, or name.
Renewable Electricity Share | 0.01 % of total | 100.0 |
Renewable Energy Share | 0.10 % of total energy | 99.9 |
Flood Risk | 8.30 0-10 | 83.0 |
Land Surface Temperature | 33.1 deg C change | 76.8 |
Energy Imports | -110 % of energy use | 60.0 |
Energy Intensity | 10.2 MJ/$2017 PPP GDP | 51.6 |
Fossil Fuel Consumption | 0.00 % of total | 50.0 |
Cooling Degree Days | 2857 degree days | 38.1 |
CO2 Emissions Per Capita | 9.16 metric tons | 29.2 |
Energy Use Per Capita | 4559 kg oil eq per capita | 27.6 |
Heating Degree Days | 3440 degree days | 25.1 |
PM2.5 Air Pollution | 19.6 ug/m3 | 18.3 |
N2O Emissions Per Capita | 0.77 kt CO2e per capita | 17.9 |
Heat Index | 4.43 days | 2.9 |
Access to Clean Fuels | 99.8 % population | 0.2 |
Coal Electricity Share | 0.00 % of total | 0.0 |
Drought Index (SPEI) | -2.48 index | 0.0 |
Freshwater Withdrawal Rate | 1.00 0-1 | 100.0 |
Freshwater Withdrawal | 1868 % of internal resources | 98.8 |
Agricultural Land | 84.2 % of land | 97.4 |
Water Dependency Ratio | 0.97 0-1 | 97.0 |
Protected Areas | 4.30 % of land | 95.7 |
Forest Area | 8.78 % of land | 90.7 |
Environmental Treaties Engagement | 0.88 0-1 | 88.3 |
Health Expenditure Per Capita | 0.81 0-1 | 80.7 |
Dam Capacity | 0.80 0-1 | 80.5 |
Projected Cereal Yield Change | 0.78 0-1 | 77.8 |
Agricultural Capacity | 0.75 0-1 | 74.9 |
Quality of Trade Infrastructure | 0.71 0-1 | 71.0 |
Projected Vector Disease Change | 0.66 0-1 | 65.8 |
Projected Warm Period Change | 0.63 0-1 | 62.7 |
Food Production Index | 112 index | 61.5 |
Projected Biome Distribution Change | 0.55 0-1 | 55.3 |
Age Dependency Ratio | 0.54 0-1 | 53.7 |
Urban Concentration | 0.50 0-1 | 50.4 |
Rural Population | 0.50 0-1 | 49.6 |
Projected Hydropower Change | 0.44 0-1 | 43.7 |
Protected Biome Areas | 0.40 0-1 | 40.0 |
Earthquake Risk | 3.00 0-10 | 30.0 |
Natural Capital Dependency | 0.29 0-1 | 29.0 |
Agriculture GDP Share | 12.2 % of GDP | 28.8 |
Disaster Preparedness | 0.25 0-1 | 25.0 |
Projected Population Change | 0.22 0-1 | 21.5 |
Natural Resource Depletion | 6.20 % of GNI | 20.6 |
Paved Roads | 0.19 0-1 | 19.2 |
Food Import Dependency | 0.18 0-1 | 18.2 |
Child Malnutrition | 0.17 0-1 | 16.9 |
Slum Population | 0.09 0-1 | 8.6 |
Projected Flood Hazard Change | 0.07 0-1 | 6.7 |
Projected Climate-Related Deaths | 0.06 0-1 | 6.1 |
Access to Reliable Drinking Water | 0.05 0-1 | 5.2 |
Threatened Mammal Species | 9.00 count | 4.2 |
Water Stress | 135 % | 3.5 |
Dependency Ratio | 0.02 0-1 | 2.1 |
Tsunami Risk | 0.00 0-10 | 0.0 |
Forest Depletion | 0.00 % of GNI | 0.0 |
Projected Annual Runoff Change | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Projected Groundwater Change | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Projected Marine Biodiversity Loss | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Energy Import Dependency | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Population Below 5m | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Electricity Access | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Tree Cover Loss | 0.00 hectares | 0.0 |
Hospital Beds | 3.60 per 1,000 | 73.8 |
Primary School Enrollment | 95.7 % gross | 68.2 |
Labor Participation | 44.8 % (15+) | 67.5 |
School Gender Parity | 0.98 ratio | 65.1 |
Overweight Adults | 57.0 % adults | 58.0 |
Net Migration | 14646 persons | 52.7 |
Life Expectancy | 70.2 years | 51.1 |
GDP Growth | 6.30 % annual | 43.5 |
Communicable Disease Deaths | 26.3 % | 37.2 |
Fertility Rate | 2.66 births per woman | 36.2 |
Under-5 Mortality Rate | 39.0 per 1,000 | 33.0 |
Uprooted People | 2.20 0-10 | 22.0 |
Gender Labor Ratio | 82.9 ratio F/M | 21.3 |
Children Under 5 | 1.90 0-10 | 19.0 |
Food Security | 1.80 0-10 | 18.0 |
Development and Deprivation | 1.40 0-10 | 14.0 |
Education Expenditure | 27.6 % of govt | 13.4 |
Unmet Contraception Need | 9.68 % | 11.4 |
Unemployment Rate | 4.02 % | 11.3 |
Aging Population | 4.53 % population | 8.3 |
Safe Drinking Water | 94.9 % population | 5.5 |
Undernourishment | 4.30 % population | 3.5 |
ESG Performance Score | 4.87 0-100 | 2.4 |
Aid Dependency | 0.20 0-10 | 2.0 |
Health Conditions | 0.20 0-10 | 2.0 |
Adult Literacy Rate | 99.9 % | 0.2 |
Population Density | 15.7 people/km2 | 0.1 |
Recent Shocks | 0.00 0-10 | 0.0 |
Access to Electricity | 100 % population | 0.0 |
Scientific Articles | 21.9 count | 100.0 |
R&D Expenditure | 0.09 % of GDP | 98.7 |
Regulatory Quality | -2.07 -2.5 to +2.5 | 91.4 |
Voice and Accountability | -1.88 -2.5 to +2.5 | 87.7 |
Rule of Law | -1.49 -2.5 to +2.5 | 79.7 |
Control of Corruption | -1.42 -2.5 to +2.5 | 78.5 |
INFORM Governance Index | 7.70 0-10 | 77.0 |
Government Effectiveness | -1.21 -2.5 to +2.5 | 74.1 |
Women in Parliament | 25.6 % seats | 59.8 |
Political Stability | -0.11 -2.5 to +2.5 | 52.2 |
Disaster Risk Reduction | 5.00 0-10 | 50.0 |
Physical Infrastructure | 3.20 0-10 | 32.0 |
Healthcare Access | 2.80 0-10 | 28.0 |
Communication Infrastructure | 2.60 0-10 | 26.0 |
Innovation (Readiness) | 0.05 0-1 | 95.3 |
Rule of Law (Readiness) | 0.10 0-1 | 90.5 |
Control of Corruption (Readiness) | 0.10 0-1 | 90.2 |
Education (Readiness) | 0.11 0-1 | 89.2 |
Regulatory Quality (Readiness) | 0.22 0-1 | 78.3 |
ICT Infrastructure | 0.35 0-1 | 65.3 |
Social Inequality (Readiness) | 0.46 0-1 | 54.5 |
Political Stability (Readiness) | 0.55 0-1 | 44.9 |
These indicators have site-level resolution. Score your exact location.
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Turkmenistan: ask your AI assistant
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Common questions
Answer-first, drawn from the same data above.
How risky is Turkmenistan?
Turkmenistan: mid-pack overall, with adaptation the main pressure. Its overall risk score is 53 out of 100 (medium), blended from World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.
What drives Turkmenistan's risk?
Turkmenistan's highest pressures are adaptation (76, high) and governance (75). Its strongest area is social (18).
How might Turkmenistan's climate change by 2080?
Turkmenistan's climate zones stay broadly stable through 2080 even under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5); its Koppen-based climate-hazard pressure index holds near 66 out of 100. This forward-looking outlook is separate from the historical ND-GAIN scores.
How much will Turkmenistan warm by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), Turkmenistan is on track to warm by +4.2 °C by 2080, with annual precipitation changing by +9 mm; under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5) the warming is about +3.0 °C. Based on CMIP6 multi-model projections against a 1970-2000 baseline.
How will water stress change in Turkmenistan?
The share of Turkmenistan under high water stress is projected to move from 36% today to 59% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct projections.
How will river-flood exposure change in Turkmenistan?
The share of Turkmenistan exposed to river flooding is projected to move from 0.7% today to 0.8% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct riverine-flood projections.
When was Turkmenistan's risk data last updated?
Updated October 2026, drawing on World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.